CIT Problems

Apparently the challenges for CIT Group continue. As posted in an article of the Wall Street Journal:
"While not as well known as the big commercial banks, CIT is an important test case for the Obama administration. It gives indications of the government's willingness to get involved with financial institutions that aren't deemed as too big to fail, but that play a significant role in the economy"While it is probably true that CIT Group is not too big to fail, in the traditional sense of the word, if CIT goes down, so do the chances for a recovery this year. At least, I think so. CIT finances a lot of small and medium size companies, and also offers invoice factoring (although it's more than just a factoring company)
The government will be caught on a catch 22:
1. If it helps CIT, it may now be forced to bail out other institutions that are important yet not too big to fail.
2. If it does not help CIT, there is a chance that it will fail and create a substantial disruption in certain portions of the market, mostly small businesses. These "small businesses" tend to also be VERY important for job generation.
What a predicament.
I have a slightly unconventional view of this situation. The government should evaluate if the economic value generated by the companies in the portfolio is GREATER than the face value of the portfolio. If it is, helping out CIT should be a good investment in the short term. Whether it's a good decision or even the right one is another matter. I wish them luck though.
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